@elifkurt93 Sağolun dinlediğiniz için. İlgili makalenin linki https://t.co/yBl6Q6EKHb
@natematias I wonder why they didn't pre-register the study? Seems like a simple first step if trying to indicate objectivity (tho I think there is no such thing as a purely objective study). It'd be nice to see a multiverse/many author approach to industr
RT @gquaggiotto: "For policymakers considering using predictive models in settings such as criminal justice and child-protective services,…
RT @gquaggiotto: "For policymakers considering using predictive models in settings such as criminal justice and child-protective services,…
RT @gquaggiotto: "For policymakers considering using predictive models in settings such as criminal justice and child-protective services,…
"For policymakers considering using predictive models in settings such as criminal justice and child-protective services, these results raise a number of concerns"
RT @tlearningagency: Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/XnNnmtx5Wi
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/v2Xnk1MN6W
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/XnNnmtx5Wi
RT @JMateosGarcia: Every fragile family is fragile in its own way: The Fragile Families challenge ran a mass scientific collaboration to p…
@tryberg @kerndrup Er disse artikler tilstrækkeligt videnskabelige? AI i sundhedsvæsenet duer ikke. https://t.co/25OskXc8cK AI til at forudsige børns fremtid duer ikke. https://t.co/n7w02wQZKX https://t.co/QxrFmDSvYw
@amymayt81 Yup! It was this one by Matt Salganik and co: https://t.co/LeyYpG44mW
RT @JMateosGarcia: Every fragile family is fragile in its own way: The Fragile Families challenge ran a mass scientific collaboration to p…
Every fragile family is fragile in its own way: The Fragile Families challenge ran a mass scientific collaboration to predict children life outcomes using a longitudinal dataset with ~12k variables. FYI @tomwsymons re: ELO. https://t.co/O0GHsGvfwE
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration :: no one made very accurate predictions | PNAS https://t.co/Ax9hYLCRiy
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
Another day, another random discovery: https://t.co/pQNYtH3g9P
RT @alextkindel: @bjfr Great paper! This is consistent with what we found re: predictability in a setting with longer-term and less-granula…
@bjfr Great paper! This is consistent with what we found re: predictability in a setting with longer-term and less-granular data collection https://t.co/irTH3zEykR
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
¿Qué tan predecibles son las trayectorias de la vida como el promedio de calificaciones de un niño y si una familia sería expulsada de su hogar? Pues ni siquiera los métodos de aprendizaje automático optimizados para predicción hacen predicciones precisas
Machine learning from big data doesn't always predict well. - Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration | PNAS https://t.co/L2pU5NDpyW
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
理解と予測のパラドックス、サルガニック本読むといいのかな(目次はそんなにがっつりやってなさそうだけど…) https://t.co/gBP29mo3WM
RT @jf_castell: How predictable are life trajectories? une étude du PNAS d'une centaine de chercheurs a cherché à voir comment les parcours…
How predictable are life trajectories? une étude du PNAS d'une centaine de chercheurs a cherché à voir comment les parcours étaient prédictibles via une séries de variables sociologiques (famille, enfance...). Les résultats infirment l'hypothèse (ouf!). h
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/xMUyQZ02BE
From the policy and philosophical to the personal point of view, very interesting! Measuring the Predictability of Life Outcomes with a Scientific Mass Collaboration: none of the predictions were very accurate. https://t.co/DNYpE1fzss #research #policy #e
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
@JeroenBaas Ik heb dit nog niet volledig doorgewerkt maar zegt veel over de grenzen van profielen https://t.co/grLEYcr3yp
RT @pablojensenlyon: A great paper by @msalganik on social prediction, showing the practical limits to the predictability of life trajector…
RT @pablojensenlyon: A great paper by @msalganik on social prediction, showing the practical limits to the predictability of life trajector…
RT @pablojensenlyon: A great paper by @msalganik on social prediction, showing the practical limits to the predictability of life trajector…
RT @Philippe_MONIN: .@seinecle @Marghe_PAGANI @BenoitLoeillet
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @pablojensenlyon: A great paper by @msalganik on social prediction, showing the practical limits to the predictability of life trajector…
.@seinecle @Marghe_PAGANI @BenoitLoeillet
RT @pablojensenlyon: A great paper by @msalganik on social prediction, showing the practical limits to the predictability of life trajector…
A great paper by @msalganik on social prediction, showing the practical limits to the predictability of life trajectories : applying machine-learning methods optimized for prediction to thousands of variables does not add much to sociology 101... https://t
RT @manos_tsakiris: 100s of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes (v. relevant for criminal justice). They used machine-learning met…
RT @NAChristakis: Deep and disturbing paper about social science, the vagaries of life, and our sense of control: Measuring the predictabil…
#MachineLearning, #DeepLearning & #AI enthusiasts! Please read this: Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration | PNAS https://t.co/BtIzeeOYrs This shows concerns in predictive forecasting where they matter the m
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @NAChristakis: Deep and disturbing paper about social science, the vagaries of life, and our sense of control: Measuring the predictabil…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @NAChristakis: Deep and disturbing paper about social science, the vagaries of life, and our sense of control: Measuring the predictabil…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes with machine-learning methods optimized for prediction, and they drew on a vast dataset that was painstakingly collected by social scientists over 15y. No one made very accurate predictions. 😂
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
@BreznauNate Paper: https://t.co/krwS3CCwRZ & Special Collection: https://t.co/WM9f4oYaAB
RT @NAChristakis: Deep and disturbing paper about social science, the vagaries of life, and our sense of control: Measuring the predictabil…
3/9) Kan systemer med AI forudsige et menneskes fremtid fx om kriminalitet? 113 forskere undersøgte 160 systemer, som var beregnet til at forudsige et barns fremtid. Ingen af systemerne duede: https://t.co/n7w02wQZKX Se også https://t.co/3wBHjwhMWw Trygfon
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @DanielOberski: This is a very important paper, for two reasons: (1) the results (see tweet); (2) it's one of the few existing social sc…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
Did you know you cite a Danish author, Storm P., when you quote that "prediction is hard, particularly about the future"? Neuroscience has established that the predictive brain works on the basis of memory, so it all makes sense: We choose the future that
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
Some outcomes (e.g., GPA) were accurately predicted, just not better than linear regressions using mother's race/ethnicity, marital status, and education level. Not much discussion on measures. Is there a collection of psychological factors that might hav
I *love* this!
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @Dorialexander: Un article vraiment intéressant sur l'épistémologie du machine learning : les modèles prédictifs ne parviennent pas à sa…
@RenskeLeijten
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
Cientos de investigadores trataron de predecir con herramientas científicas cuestiones importantes de la vida de las personas. Resultado: 💩 ‼️Una descripción de la realidad actual no es una predicción de futuras realidades. https://t.co/XtddHJO7JA
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
Almost like life is complicated.
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @NAChristakis: Deep and disturbing paper about social science, the vagaries of life, and our sense of control: Measuring the predictabil…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
Wow! More good reason to be careful/skeptical of social science research.
RT @msalganik: If hundreds of scientists created predictive algorithms with high-quality data, how well would the best predict life outcome…
RT @danilobzdok: Prediction is hard, especially about the future! "Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes...no one…