Machine learning failed to predict anyone’s destiny in this scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/FHOg53F0mK
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/Og18gjTvlU
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/vkniyArcoX
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/P65ndYkLvV
"one can argue that prediction is not a good measure of understanding and that understanding can come from description or causal inference. [...]
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
RT @chris_bail: 1/n Can machine learning solve social science problems? This unprecedented study led by @msalganik and dozens of co-authors…
RT @chris_bail: 1/n Can machine learning solve social science problems? This unprecedented study led by @msalganik and dozens of co-authors…
RT @mdoval: Sed muy escépticos con la IA, pero cuando se trata de 'predecir' el comportamiento humano podéis carcajearos sin miedo. Todas e…
RT @elipariser: Predicting human life is hard: "Despite using a rich dataset and applying machine-learning methods optimized for prediction…
RT @mdoval: Sed muy escépticos con la IA, pero cuando se trata de 'predecir' el comportamiento humano podéis carcajearos sin miedo. Todas e…
Sed muy escépticos con la IA, pero cuando se trata de 'predecir' el comportamiento humano podéis carcajearos sin miedo. Todas esas apps que dicen que van a ayudar con el corona son espionaje inútil
RT @ceptional: "researchers must reconcile the idea that they understand life trajectories with the fact that none of the predictions were…
Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family would be evicted. No one made very accurate predictions. by @CdiPorter (& many others!) via @PNASnews #predictiveanalytic
Вот здесь интересное исследование о том насколько предсказуемы жизненные траектории. https://t.co/GEUt6yn46f
RT @spiantado: Cool paper: when scientists try to predict what happens in people's lives, their best theories and models don't do a good jo…
Hahahaha! A @mahagod foi bem mais elegante que eu: https://t.co/b30rjckqpZ
RT @ceptional: "researchers must reconcile the idea that they understand life trajectories with the fact that none of the predictions were…
This is such an interesting paper. I guess it raises the question if prediction of individual behaviour is a reasonable outcome of this type of social science? I guess it doesn't rule out the quality of the research to accurately describe phenomena, but it
RT @ceptional: "researchers must reconcile the idea that they understand life trajectories with the fact that none of the predictions were…
RT @ceptional: "researchers must reconcile the idea that they understand life trajectories with the fact that none of the predictions were…
RT @ceptional: "researchers must reconcile the idea that they understand life trajectories with the fact that none of the predictions were…
RT @ceptional: "researchers must reconcile the idea that they understand life trajectories with the fact that none of the predictions were…
"researchers must reconcile the idea that they understand life trajectories with the fact that none of the predictions were very accurate." Pathetic if researchers didn't realize how bad their predictions are - likely the case due to overfitting, p-hacking
RT @PNASNews: A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting…
RT @spiantado: Cool paper: when scientists try to predict what happens in people's lives, their best theories and models don't do a good jo…
RT @khp53703: Policymakers take note, “The most complicated machine-learning techniques also weren’t much more accurate than far simpler me…
RT @spiantado: Cool paper: when scientists try to predict what happens in people's lives, their best theories and models don't do a good jo…
RT @khp53703: Policymakers take note, “The most complicated machine-learning techniques also weren’t much more accurate than far simpler me…
Policymakers take note, “The most complicated machine-learning techniques also weren’t much more accurate than far simpler methods.” #ai #childwelfare #childprotection #criminaljustice #BigData
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @AndiChallenge: The 💡 idea behind a challenge is to get new insight on a topic through a collective effort... Sometimes, even showing th…
RT @spiantado: Cool paper: when scientists try to predict what happens in people's lives, their best theories and models don't do a good jo…
Cool paper: when scientists try to predict what happens in people's lives, their best theories and models don't do a good job. https://t.co/54YNZYOXXK
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @LandonSchnabel: Excited to see that the Fragile Families Challenge paper is now online! https://t.co/716HRhbGAM While social science c…
RT @AndiChallenge: The 💡 idea behind a challenge is to get new insight on a topic through a collective effort... Sometimes, even showing th…
RT @AndiChallenge: The 💡 idea behind a challenge is to get new insight on a topic through a collective effort... Sometimes, even showing th…
RT @AndiChallenge: The 💡 idea behind a challenge is to get new insight on a topic through a collective effort... Sometimes, even showing th…
The 💡 idea behind a challenge is to get new insight on a topic through a collective effort... Sometimes, even showing that #AI can't help is a result! As shown in this recent @PNASNews article 👉🏽 https://t.co/s6b82ZgeXQ
RT @nutterzht: Machine learning? Traditional stats models? No one made very accurate predictions. Measuring the predictability of life outc…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @lovecsen: Great paper on the (current) limits of machine learning techniques for predicting social outcomes https://t.co/CSJKcI5yXz htt…
AI can’t predict how a child’s life will turn out even with a ton of data https://t.co/LIDz2g12xN
Great paper on the (current) limits of machine learning techniques for predicting social outcomes https://t.co/CSJKcI5yXz https://t.co/Dmcm1BZ3om
One the limits of predictability: https://t.co/gokOjBY41J Not everything is predictable even via crowdsourcing and the fanciest #ML methods. This certainly applies to the predictability of life outcomes (of children) as the paper suggests.
RT @PNASNews: A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting…
RT @mattzook: New study trying to measure the predictability of life outcomes from massive amounts of data and machine learning. "no one…
RT @mattzook: New study trying to measure the predictability of life outcomes from massive amounts of data and machine learning. "no one…
RT @nutterzht: Machine learning? Traditional stats models? No one made very accurate predictions. Measuring the predictability of life outc…
Machine learning? Traditional stats models? No one made very accurate predictions. Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/Av6XbgQX14
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
New study trying to measure the predictability of life outcomes from massive amounts of data and machine learning. "no one made very accurate predictions" https://t.co/WGeew6WhNy
This is interesting: Are outcomes for families too complex for artificial intelligence to predict- even with huge data sets to work from? If so, what are the implications for social work practice and child assessments? https://t.co/Rl8pFSsqOZ
RT @PNASNews: A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
The severe limitations of prediction in the social sciences: Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://t.co/htPnS9g4pJ
RT @PNASNews: A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @PNASNews: A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @amlivemon: I keep pressing that trying to model human behavior and infectious spread with different human interactions is not as easy a…
RT @PNASNews: A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting…
RT @PNASNews: A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting…
A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting that predictive models in criminal and social systems may need to be reevaluated. In PNAS: https://t.co/kFK6TltFks https://t.co/YQa
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
Hundreds of researchers used Artificial Intelligence to predict six life outcomes of families from a large dataset. However, no one made very accurate predictions. | PNAS 🙁 https://t.co/ak3qCT6xGX
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
Neat PNAS paper using machine learning to predict outcomes based on early experience. The inability to identify an accurate predictive model illustrates the importance of thinking about new ways to conceptualize early experience. https://t.co/dMe2CBedhh
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @Firsou: “Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict six life outcomes [...] on a vast dataset that was painstakingly collected by soc…
Hundreds of researchers attempted to predict children’s and families’ outcomes, using 15 years of data. None were able to do so with meaningful accuracy. https://t.co/WCO9XE2y3l
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @sofievalk: Interesting
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
Interesting
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…