RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @chris_bail: 1/n Can machine learning solve social science problems? This unprecedented study led by @msalganik and dozens of co-authors…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
Dismal predictive performance (and ML not much better than OLS) for important life outcome questions. Be skeptical when ML/AI algorithms are hailed as panaceas (hiring/crime/child welfare), both b/c of entrenched structural biases and poor performance http
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @NikhitDsa: "Despite using a rich dataset and applying machine-learning methods optimized for prediction, the best predictions were not…
"Despite using a rich dataset and applying machine-learning methods optimized for prediction, the best predictions were not very accurate and were only slightly better than those from a simple benchmark model." ML is still far from providing sound estimate
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
Predicting life outcomes for at-risk children
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @Descartes_Ghost: @trishankkarthik @harari_yuval On the other hand @harari_yuval sees omniscient #AI and I would like him to explain the…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
RT @MDRC_News: Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family w…
Using #MachineLearning, hundreds of researchers tried to predict 6 life outcomes, such as a child’s GPA & whether a family would be evicted from their home. No one made very accurate predictions. by @CdiPorter (& many others!) via @PNASnews #bi
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @PirateOrg: machine learning is really good at predicting the past so there's that 😉 https://t.co/PTHr2A5Oif
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @PirateOrg: machine learning is really good at predicting the past so there's that 😉 https://t.co/PTHr2A5Oif
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
machine learning is really good at predicting the past so there's that 😉
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
RT @random_walker: Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer…
Reminder: machine learning is good at many things but not at predicting the future. Using the word "prediction" to refer to all applications of machine learning contributes to the pervasive confusion about the limits of ML among technologists, business peo
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
@nntaleb
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
This new study from @msalganik is so awesome.
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
I trained a model that ranks ML research papers and the scire of this one suggests that it will be under the radar until the reinvention of peanut butter (by ml) and become more and more appreciated after that.
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
@trishankkarthik @harari_yuval On the other hand @harari_yuval sees omniscient #AI and I would like him to explain the results of this research : 160 teams (AI, statisticians, sociologists etc.) aren't able to make meaningful predictions for simple social
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
https://t.co/HKcFUxAqeA A hugely important paper for policy makers and social scientists. Given a rich data set over 15 years concerning the life outcomes of families, researchers tried to predict a variety of outcomes for each family. No group did well a
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration | PNAS https://t.co/LGoBP5jo74 "데이터로 누군가의 삶을 쉽게 예측하여 재단하지 말라"는 교훈. 대규모 데이터셋에 기반한 아무리 정교한 모델도 인간의 삶을 정확히 예측할 수 없다. 데이터가 모든 것을
@nntaleb A new paper shows that no matter what is your mastery on statistics, it appears that it doesn't help (results are grim) in social sciences : https://t.co/cBAPmZSuHA
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…
RT @interacciones: Que no os vendan la moto de Minority Report. https://t.co/wcumuJVZYt
RT @interacciones: Que no os vendan la moto de Minority Report.
Very interesting paper, for which discussions of the gloomy prospect by @ent3c @mendel_random and #RobertPlomin & Daniel provide important context. https://t.co/67hrppJMLU https://t.co/5N5qXPyc1m https://t.co/TsJpbe3WVZ.
RT @random_walker: Predicting the future is hard, whether you use a magic 8-ball or machine learning. New in PNAS—160 teams competed to pre…