RT @ColinDavdButler: 7/n of "natural spillover" hypothesis for COVID-19 agrees it was not "natural" but, lab-associated (https://t.co/JsvjY…
7/n of "natural spillover" hypothesis for COVID-19 agrees it was not "natural" but, lab-associated (https://t.co/JsvjYIlQmC & https://t.co/KV0RrxX6EZ). Mortality of 1977 o/break low compared to 1957/68 pandemics, but may be similar to 2009 "pandemic",
@Lucm59 @Reveident @alainhoupert Voilà 1 publication parmi d'autres. Lisez, comprenez et ensuite, vous pourrez commenter https://t.co/QKyfBjTNBq
Mortalidad global estimada asociada con los primeros 12 meses de la circulación del virus de la influenza pandémica A H1N1 2009: un estudio de modelado https://t.co/xQxVMQHg88
@KarlPettersso10 @galinash @Benjaministern It's a valid point, as is not using 2019. But have you asked/suggested him all of this? It's fair/right to try to help him get a better analysis. As ref. during the 2009 H1N1pdm09 flu (yes, also somewhat odd sea
4/ Här är CDC-forskarnas rapport i @TheLancetInfDis. Det är visserligen en modelleringsstudie, och riktar in sig på mortalitet associerad men influensan (men indikerar, liksom med #COVID19, så kan viruset bidra till fler dödsfall, snittet blev här ~284k)
@thon_atze Im Zeitraum April 2009 bis August 2010 wurden weltweit 18.500 laborbestätigte Todesfälle durch die Influenza-Pandemie A H1N1 von 2009 gemeldet. Schätzungen in der Modellstudie gehen von höheren Zahlen weltweiter Todesfälle aus. https://t.co/jk
RT @CTZebra: @Nurse1776 @Com3andTakeIt @LuLuLaurenG @Trent_MTManInNC @CaseyJones981 @davematt88 @mimimcg07 There were 18500 lab confirmed H…
@Com3andTakeIt @Nurse1776 @LuLuLaurenG @Trent_MTManInNC @CaseyJones981 @davematt88 @mimimcg07 The first link is to the Lancet Journal. The CDC is reporting on their findings, as did the WHO. Here it is AGAIN. 575,000 is the 15x. https://t.co/EsBnCD0zP8
@Com3andTakeIt @Nurse1776 @LuLuLaurenG @Trent_MTManInNC @CaseyJones981 @davematt88 @mimimcg07 The 575,000 is the 15x higher than reported Number. NOT 8 million. That’s just a number she made up. https://t.co/olXwOAd5u8 https://t.co/EsBnCD0zP8
@Nurse1776 @Com3andTakeIt @LuLuLaurenG @Trent_MTManInNC @CaseyJones981 @davematt88 @mimimcg07 There were 18500 lab confirmed H1N1 cases worldwide. This isn’t hard, hun. At least not for smart people Wonder why you’re having such a hard time… https://t.
@Nurse1776 @LuLuLaurenG @Trent_MTManInNC @CaseyJones981 @davematt88 @mimimcg07 To clarify, because I think you probably aren’t smart enough to read the source material, the 575000 is the 15x higher number. Not 8 million. 😂 https://t.co/EsBnCD0zP8
RT @CovidSerology: @econstatsnerd @NateSilver538 Based on reported deaths alone, i estimate IFR of 0.004% for the US but expect it to be in…
@econstatsnerd @NateSilver538 Based on reported deaths alone, i estimate IFR of 0.004% for the US but expect it to be in the range of 0.006-0.012% if corrections are made for death underreporting + MIS-C fatalities. https://t.co/6TReK5WlbV
@Bio_Jenny_D @Meine_Kehrseite @enielaK @DarkDay08543903 Im Lancet wird beispielsweise die Schweinegrippe als Pandemie bezeichnet. https://t.co/s8kKeZxLSX Tote scheint es übrigens auch gegeben zu haben. https://t.co/x5JVHIRZCA
@kias5427 @Sniffy1997 @Br4mm3n Nein, es ist kein Glücksspiel. Insgesamt schätzt man das zwischen 150 000 und 400 000 allein im ersten Jahr an den Folgen der Krankheit gestorben sind. Also was ist schlimmer? https://t.co/RnbVMw2ZFP
@JaniceClaire14 @SDK21597925 That seems high. To my knowledge, the generally accepted estimate for total global mortality from the 2009-10 H1N1 pandemic is ~250,000 (175,000-575,000). That is still much, much higher than the lab-confirmed death toll, as y
@Otto_Normbue @Eddy_Bernayz @c_drosten Das sind laborbestätigte Fälle. Das ist nur ein kleiner Teil. Man geht von ca. 500.000 Opfern im ersten Jahr aus. Das Virus zirkulierte ja noch einige Jahre. https://t.co/3v6fuEH8XA
@inesdealmeida90 @JCarvalho1972 ...provas. Já agora a gripe das aves https://t.co/PqzGXluTxv
@dianesbaker1 @Sflecce @PublicHealthON @DorisGrinspun CDC estimated that H1N1 killed 151,700-575,400 worldwide and 70-80% of those were in people under 65. Which is radically different than the norm. Even lab confirmed US deaths were 18,000 and they hardly
@Wynterssb @SoloJonesYT @MaxKetchum_ Also the bottom of the page on the CDC link I sent above links to the only place I could find a global estimate of deaths, which states the first full year of 2009 led to 284,500 people died from H1N1. https://t.co/54
@jeff_laycock @MarkMcGowanMP The WHO found 18449 deaths lab confirmed deaths. https://t.co/g6vIlsDV6v Total deaths range from 151,700–575,400, see article below. https://t.co/VnJy3PRtRo
@GirardotMarc @alchemytoday @davidraxen @MLevitt_NP2013 Almost equal symptomatic attack rates for pandemic pH1N1 in both tropical areas and cities in the Northern Hemisphere - https://t.co/rC8lw03B6A https://t.co/XJ04ZIyr40
Estimated global mortality associated with the first 12 months of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus circulation: a modelling study - The Lancet Infectious Diseases https://t.co/fKZrlirS0p
@MatusRenee @mskjdrn @robm999 @KarenMa42378767 @RepBillFlores In case you’re more of a thinking person than I gave you credit for - https://t.co/G0svZBXET4
@ivaningrad @GidMK Similar outlook for seasonal influenza (flu - https://t.co/fr3wJGl4gX). https://t.co/dtQh2ONYFm
@CNN @zbyronwolf Here’s the link to the H1N1 study showing it actually killed significantly more people. Outlets like CNN have completely ignored it bc it doesn’t fit the narrative.... https://t.co/oUGhiIVbuc
@RQsBoss @mmpadellan @ReallyAmerican1 Yeah sure let’s compare to the study done by the CDC. https://t.co/KsAnOLUKqN
RT @CovidSerology: @gummibear737 Restricted to confirmed deaths their estimate was actually very close to the reality CFR - 0.08-0.16% but…
@gummibear737 Restricted to confirmed deaths their estimate was actually very close to the reality CFR - 0.08-0.16% but including suspected death rose CFR to 0.3-1.8%. Their assessment about higher attack rates in children compared to older was indeed corr
@federicolois @Greenmantle39 Despite low IFR, these infection cause significant under 5 mortality in LMIC and HIC so by age 5 almost all children (>90%) would have been infected by RSV, influenza and the human coronaviruses. Links: https://t.co/nfABr
@superkalifragi4 ähm... glaube dass persönliche Wahrnehmung für epidemiologische Fragestellung nicht so relevant https://t.co/749xctWZei
@codinghorror Found this https://t.co/nVDo9HsM1i
@iproposethis Here's the study. https://t.co/w8uuX53R8C As you can see, it's all based on a model, not real data. As for Zika, we only had 1 in the states and 13 in PR. There were about 36k cases, but the fear was related to the media or CDC/WHO never r
In 2009, poor countries got access to the new H1N1 vaccine months, if not years, after rich countries, despite the burden of mortality being highest there. https://t.co/rsWAXmbYfs
@DrEliDavid @FatEmperor @carlheneghan @MLevitt_NP2013 @RogueRad @daniellevitt22 @HaraldofW @DaFeid @JamesTodaroMD @ProfTimNoakes Links: Pandemic H1N1: https://t.co/aGnoq56YTe Seasonal Influenza: https://t.co/C1r1MCsEBe 4/n
@JKHassell @eugenegu @realDonaldTrump Sure: https://t.co/4AhELZtoDT Note: has to rely on “estimates” just as CDC’s calculation of American number of 13k or so. Where was the feverish tracking? Anyway given origin in America the population likely had so
Africa and SE Asia record a bulk of the excess mortality despite very young populations and lower prevalence of risk factors of complications and deaths for seasonal and pandemic influenza in both pediatric and adult cohorts https://t.co/dtQh2ONYFm 8/n htt
@weydrich @deutsch365 Also hast du keinerlei Studien sondern weiterhin nur deine Behauptungen? Ich glaub, du hast noch nichts im Lancet veröffentlich oder? https://t.co/llEpohvNTx
Links: Modelled age-dependent IFR for different age groups https://t.co/un9k23gmd6 US nationwide kids modelling and data dashboard - https://t.co/lR2qDvkxnm CDC 2017/2018 flu data - https://t.co/y3UHDC3QiS 2009 pH1N1 influenza age dependent IFR - https
RT @CovidSerology: @jwitker @g17891 @florian_krammer @snorman1776 Again it is important to compare to apples to apples both adjusting for p…
@jwitker @g17891 @florian_krammer @snorman1776 Again it is important to compare to apples to apples both adjusting for prevalence and fatality classification. 1. Serology showed high (>40%) attack rate from H1N1 infections in <18 in the US and sCFR/I
@g17891 @florian_krammer @snorman1776 Overall fatality risk for the age group is 0.002-0.008% for pandemic influenza and similar rate for seasonal flu (~0.005%). https://t.co/dtQh2ONYFm https://t.co/Go10ZJufem 2/n
@WesPegden @BillHanage @michaelmina_lab Not very different from modelled IFR from pandemic and seasonal influenza for that age group. https://t.co/dtQh2ONYFm
@craftybutcher1 @CuomoPrimeTime @ChrisCuomo https://t.co/qzpHBDswA7 "18 500 laboratory-confirmed deaths caused by the 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 were reported worldwide for the period April, 2009, to August, 2010." article estimates actual deaths at 27
@SHomburg @systemanalysen Hier kommt es wieder auf die Definition von harmlos an. Schätzungen um 200.000 Tote, v.a. bei Patienten unter 65 Jahren weltweit https://t.co/ocph3ah1do. Aber sicher deutlich harmloser als frühere H1N1 Pandemien (z.B. spanische Gr
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…
RT @oatila: Com 577 mil mortes *oficiais* por COVID, em 7 meses, já passamos as estimativas mais altas de mortes de toda pandemia da gripe…